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Jun 26, 2022 at 1am UK at Mineirão
Atletico Mineiro
3 - 2
Fortaleza
Rubens (76'), Rever (87'), Jussa (90+6' og.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Romarinho (3', 29')
Ronald (53'), Boeck (78'), Crispim (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Ceara
Thursday, June 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Fortaleza

While Atletico Mineiro will be considered as favourites for Saturday's contest, an upturn in form for Fortaleza suggests that a closely-fought encounter could be on the cards. Nevertheless, the hosts should have enough quality in their side, particularly in the final third, to come away with all three points in Belo Horizonte. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 13.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFortaleza
65.43% (-1.117 -1.12) 20.72% (0.465 0.47) 13.84% (0.647 0.65)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.287 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48% (-0.564 -0.56)48.52% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.35% (-0.515 -0.51)70.65% (0.511 0.51)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)14.03% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.41% (-1.021 -1.02)41.59% (1.015 1.02)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.73% (0.651 0.65)46.27% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.07% (0.495 0.5)81.93% (-0.502 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 65.42%
    Fortaleza 13.84%
    Draw 20.72%
Atletico MineiroDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.51% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 8.2% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.02% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 65.42%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.221 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.72%
0-1 @ 5% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.79% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 13.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Ceara
Thursday, June 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 America Mineiro
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 3-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras332011256213571
2InternacionalInternacional331613450292161
3FlamengoFlamengo33177953302358
4Corinthians3216973930957
5Fluminense331671053401355
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR33149104040051
7Atletico Mineiro33121293833548
8Sao Paulo331114846351147
9America MineiroAmerica Mineiro33136143134-345
10FortalezaFortaleza33129123433145
11Botafogo33128133437-344
12SantosSantos331110123830843
13BragantinoBragantino331011124545041
14GoiasGoias321011113541-641
15Coritiba33105183353-2035
16CearaCeara33616112934-534
17Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3389163349-1633
18Cuiaba33710162537-1231
19Avai3377192855-2728
20JuventudeJuventude33312182660-3421
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6Lille127142521422
7MonacoMonaco126332318521
8Lyon125252116517
9Clermont125251619-317
10Toulouse124441920-116
11Troyes123452124-313
12Nice123451115-413
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier124082224-212
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