SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Goias | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | America Mineiro | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | Avai | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ceara | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Fluminense | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Goias | 11 | -2 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 44.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 26.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Fluminense |
44.09% ( -0.05) | 29.22% ( 0) | 26.69% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
