Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 53%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
