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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 38
May 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Brugge
1 - 0
Union SG
Moris (65' og.)
Balanta (36'), Mignolet (76'), Buchanan (83')
Buchanan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Machida (12'), Thierry Lazare (18'), Nielsen (77')
Machida (59')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Club Brugge and Union SG.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 0-1 Antwerp
Sunday, May 22 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawUnion SG
45.42% (2.526 2.53) 24.26% (-1.103 -1.1) 30.33% (-1.425 -1.43)
Both teams to score 58.39% (3.052 3.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02% (4.304 4.3)43.98% (-4.309 -4.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (4.068 4.07)66.36% (-4.072 -4.07)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (2.924 2.92)19.52% (-2.929 -2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (4.569 4.57)51.41% (-4.574 -4.57)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (1.196 1.2)27.45% (-1.201 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (1.524 1.52)62.93% (-1.529 -1.53)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 45.42%
    Union SG 30.33%
    Draw 24.25%
Club BruggeDrawUnion SG
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.272 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.855 -0.85)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.567 0.57)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.462 0.46)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.387 0.39)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.255 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.286 0.29)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.42%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.7 -0.7)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.369 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-1.073 -1.07)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.239 0.24)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-1.113 -1.11)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.547 -0.55)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.239 0.24)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Union SG 0-2 Brugge
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-0 Brugge
Sunday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-0 Antwerp
Sunday, April 24 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-0 Mechelen
Sunday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Beerschot VA 1-3 Brugge
Friday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Genk
Sunday, March 20 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 0-2 Brugge
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 0-0 Union SG
Sunday, May 1 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 3-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 24 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 5-0 Beerschot VA
Sunday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Standard Liege 1-3 Union SG
Sunday, April 3 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Oostende
Friday, March 18 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
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Belgian Pro League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Genk34236578374175
2Union SGUnion SG34236570412975
3Royal AntwerpAntwerp34226659263372
4Club BruggeBrugge341611761362559
5GentGent341681064382656
6Standard Liege341671158451355
7Westerlo34149116153851
8Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge341311105046450
9Leuven34139125648848
10CharleroiCharleroi34146144552-748
11Anderlecht34137144946346
12Sint-Truiden34119143740-342
13MechelenMechelen34117164963-1440
14KortrijkKortrijk3487193761-2431
15EupenEupen3477204075-3528
RZulte WaregemZulte3469195078-2827
RKV OostendeOostende3476213776-3927
RRFC Seraing3455242868-4020
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