Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Slavia Mozyr win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
