Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
