Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
