Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
