SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
40.28% ( -0.5) | 28.56% ( 0.02) | 31.16% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.16% ( 0.06) | 60.84% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.13% ( 0.04) | 80.87% ( -0.04) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( -0.26) | 29.56% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.32) | 65.59% ( 0.32) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% ( 0.39) | 35.52% ( -0.39) |
