Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
