SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
50.5% ( -0.17) | 26.87% ( 0.07) | 22.63% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.5% ( -0.15) | 59.5% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% ( -0.12) | 79.85% ( 0.11) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( -0.14) | 23.73% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.14% ( -0.21) | 57.86% ( 0.2) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.01) | 42.09% ( -0.02) |
