SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 15.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
62.71% ( 1.23) | 22% ( -0.31) | 15.29% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( -0.38) | 50.86% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( -0.34) | 72.74% ( 0.34) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( 0.28) | 15.66% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.3% ( 0.52) | 44.7% ( -0.51) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.41% ( -1.48) | 45.59% ( 1.48) |
