Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
