Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
