SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Mjallby AIF | 11 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 9 | IFK Norrkoping | 11 | 2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Varnamo | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 10 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 11 | -15 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.96%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
69.8% ( 0.69) | 19.01% ( -0.1) | 11.19% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 43.75% ( -1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.51% ( -1.06) | 47.48% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.3% ( -0.99) | 69.69% ( 0.99) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% ( -0.12) | 12.43% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.65% ( -0.24) | 38.35% ( 0.24) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.96% ( -1.72) | 50.03% ( 1.72) |
