Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
