Making their debut at the tournament, Gambia have hit the ground running and will head into the knockout stages in sky-high spirits following their fine group-stage performance. We anticipate a thrilling contest between the two rivals with Gambia claiming the win, albeit by a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gambia in this match.
