Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.95%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
