Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 25.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Al Gharafa win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 8-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai would win this match.