Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istiqlol Dushanbe win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Persepolis had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Persepolis win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.