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AFC Champions League | Semi-Finals
Oct 19, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
Al-Nassr
1 - 2
Al-Hilal
Talisca (50')
Al-Ghanam (75'), Al Amri (85')
Alawjami (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marega (17'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Jang (21'), Albulayhi (63')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Semi-Finals clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Hilal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Al-Hilal win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Hilal
40.66%23.33%36.01%
Both teams to score 63.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.33%37.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.09%59.92%
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03%18.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49%50.51%
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98%54.02%
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 40.66%
    Al-Hilal 36.01%
    Draw 23.33%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 8.61%
1-0 @ 6.67%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 40.66%
1-1 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 6.69%
0-0 @ 4.02%
3-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-1 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.01%

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