Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
