Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest HIFK Fotboll win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
