SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Oulu | 17 | -1 | 25 |
| 5 | Haka | 17 | -3 | 25 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Honka | 17 | 19 | 34 |
| 4 | Oulu | 17 | -1 | 25 |
| 5 | Haka | 17 | -3 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Oulu |
46.92% ( -0.36) | 25.43% ( 0.28) | 27.64% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% ( -1.11) | 50.6% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% ( -0.99) | 72.51% ( 0.99) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.62) | 21.57% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.35% ( -0.95) | 54.65% ( 0.96) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.24% ( -0.52) | 32.76% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.68% ( -0.59) | 69.32% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Championship Round | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | SJKSJK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
| Relegation Round | |||||||||
| 1 | Oulu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 2 | IlvesIlves | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 33 |
| 3 | HakaHaka | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 4 | LahtiLahti | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 5 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
| 6 | KTP | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 4 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Oulu | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | HakaHaka | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | LahtiLahti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | IlvesIlves | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | KTP | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 15 |
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