Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
